| | |
| | |
Assessment - Straits Times Index in Dollar - 2/17/20 - RS = 45
⇐
| |
|
⇓instrument |
freshest |
⇓ Δday |
2/17/20 |
⇓ Δwk |
4/08/19 |
prc diff |
⇓ Δ45 |
|
∅-RS |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
L |
 |
STI |
2,329.639 |
8/12/24 |
-0.81 |
2,313.524 |
|
2,448.626 |
-135.102 |
-5.52 |
|
-1.99 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
S |
 |
Mapletree Industrial |
1.599 |
8/12/24 |
-0.89 |
2.110 |
|
1.544 |
0.566 |
36.68 |
|
24.74 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
S |
 |
Mapletree Logistics |
0.907 |
8/12/24 |
-0.79 |
1.433 |
|
1.078 |
0.355 |
32.89 |
|
23.58 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
L |
 |
Singapore Exchange |
7.035 |
8/12/24 |
-0.51 |
6.725 |
|
5.458 |
1.267 |
23.22 |
|
13.11 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
S |
 |
City Developments |
3.744 |
8/12/24 |
0.97 |
7.921 |
|
6.920 |
1.000 |
14.45 |
|
11.55 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
|
 |
Mapletree Pan Asia |
1.220 |
8/12/24 |
-0.81 |
2.340 |
|
1.873 |
0.467 |
24.95 |
|
11.36 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
S |
 |
UOL |
3.823 |
8/12/24 |
-0.19 |
5.897 |
|
5.303 |
0.594 |
11.21 |
|
8.01 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
S |
 |
Wilmar International |
2.189 |
8/12/24 |
-0.98 |
2.938 |
|
2.578 |
0.360 |
13.98 |
|
7.99 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
S |
 |
CapitaLand Ascendas |
1.894 |
8/12/24 |
-0.75 |
2.362 |
|
2.142 |
0.220 |
10.27 |
|
7.41 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
|
 |
ST Engineering |
3.060 |
8/12/24 |
0.71 |
3.082 |
|
2.821 |
0.261 |
9.23 |
|
5.58 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
S |
 |
Frasers L&C Trust |
0.709 |
8/12/24 |
-1.50 |
0.929 |
|
0.864 |
0.065 |
7.49 |
|
5.32 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
S |
 |
Keppel |
4.284 |
8/12/24 |
0.34 |
4.839 |
|
4.860 |
-0.021 |
-0.43 |
|
3.08 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
|
 |
Venture Corporation |
9.922 |
8/12/24 |
-0.72 |
12.126 |
|
13.811 |
-1.685 |
-12.20 |
|
2.21 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
L |
 |
United Overseas Bank |
21.090 |
8/12/24 |
0.58 |
18.757 |
|
19.572 |
-0.814 |
-4.16 |
|
-0.92 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
|
 |
CapitaLand ICT |
1.512 |
8/12/24 |
0.96 |
1.815 |
|
1.758 |
0.057 |
3.23 |
|
-1.45 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
|
 |
DBS Bank |
24.467 |
8/12/24 |
1.22 |
18.347 |
|
19.808 |
-1.461 |
-7.38 |
|
-2.09 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
|
 |
OCBC |
9.958 |
8/12/24 |
0.29 |
7.928 |
|
8.656 |
-0.728 |
-8.41 |
|
-2.36 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
L |
 |
Singtel |
2.045 |
8/12/24 |
-2.74 |
2.311 |
|
2.260 |
0.051 |
2.27 |
|
-2.48 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
L |
 |
ThaiBev |
0.346 |
8/12/24 |
-4.00 |
0.598 |
|
0.613 |
-0.015 |
-2.51 |
|
-3.98 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
S |
 |
Jardine Matheson |
36.180 |
8/12/24 |
1.63 |
58.000 |
|
62.300 |
-4.300 |
-6.90 |
|
-2.33 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
S |
 |
Genting |
0.572 |
8/12/24 |
-2.45 |
0.637 |
|
0.724 |
-0.087 |
-11.96 |
|
-6.37 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
|
 |
Singapore Airlines |
4.248 |
8/12/24 |
0.34 |
6.236 |
|
7.304 |
-1.069 |
-14.63 |
|
-8.27 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
L |
 |
Jardine Cycle & Carr |
18.743 |
8/12/24 |
1.21 |
20.946 |
|
25.148 |
-4.202 |
-16.71 |
|
-11.89 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
L |
 |
SATS |
2.182 |
8/12/24 |
-0.98 |
3.226 |
|
3.885 |
-0.659 |
-16.96 |
|
-12.07 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
L |
 |
Hongkong Land |
3.400 |
8/12/24 |
1.80 |
5.470 |
|
7.130 |
-1.660 |
-23.28 |
|
-10.58 |
| |
|
⇓instrument |
freshest |
⇓ Δday |
2/17/20 |
⇓ Δwk |
4/08/19 |
prc diff |
⇓ Δ45 |
|
∅-RS |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
S |
 |
Sembcorp Industries |
3.334 |
8/12/24 |
-2.53 |
1.469 |
|
2.031 |
-0.562 |
-27.68 |
|
-14.46 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
L |
 |
Seatrium |
1.008 |
8/12/24 |
-1.41 |
17.137 |
|
25.111 |
-7.974 |
-31.75 |
|
-15.69 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
L |
 |
Yangzijiang Ship |
1.714 |
8/12/24 |
-4.03 |
0.727 |
|
1.189 |
-0.462 |
-38.84 |
|
-17.75 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
L |
 |
DFI Retail |
1.860 |
8/12/24 |
5.68 |
5.370 |
|
8.110 |
-2.740 |
-33.79 |
|
-20.64 |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
L |
 |
CapitaLand Invest |
1.815 |
8/12/24 |
0.80 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
-na- |
| |  |
 |
 |
 |
|
 |
Emperador |
0.310 |
8/12/24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-na- |
| STI - 28 out of 30 instruments rated - 2/17/20 / 4/08/19 - 12 did rise, Market-Ratio(45) in USD = 42.86 % |
Technical Chart
Transactions Straits Times Index in Dollar * A45 - 79/68 (1)
|
⇐ |
| |
| L/S | date buy | date sell | days | | instrument | spl | pieces | | prc buy | prc sell | ps short | prc diff | d % | asset | yield | |
| 1/02/06 |
2/27/06 |
56 |
|
- cash - |
| long |
2/27/06 |
5/29/06 |
91 |
 |
 |
 |
Singapore Exchange |
100 |
4,142 |
|
2.414 |
2.518 |
|
0.104 |
4 |
10,432 |
19 |
|
| short |
5/29/06 |
9/04/06 |
98 |
 |
 |
 |
Noble Group |
100 |
26,169 |
|
0.399 |
0.452 |
0.346 |
-0.053 |
-13 |
9,047 |
-41 |
|
| long |
9/04/06 |
11/26/07 |
448 |
 |
 |
 |
Singapore Exchange |
100 |
3,485 |
|
2.595 |
9.781 |
|
7.186 |
277 |
34,090 |
195 |
|
| short |
11/26/07 |
8/17/09 |
630 |
 |
 |
 |
CapitaLand ICT |
100 |
15,261 |
|
2.234 |
1.060 |
4.707 |
2.474 |
111 |
71,841 |
54 |
|
| long |
8/17/09 |
2/07/11 |
539 |
 |
 |
 |
Yangzijiang Ship |
100 |
109,739 |
|
0.655 |
1.498 |
|
0.843 |
129 |
164,374 |
75 |
|
| short |
2/07/11 |
3/28/11 |
49 |
 |
 |
 |
Wilmar International |
100 |
39,924 |
|
4.117 |
4.337 |
3.897 |
-0.220 |
-5 |
155,581 |
-34 |
|
| long |
3/28/11 |
5/02/11 |
35 |
 |
 |
 |
Genting |
100 |
95,246 |
|
1.633 |
1.715 |
|
0.082 |
5 |
163,368 |
66 |
|
| short |
5/02/11 |
7/02/12 |
427 |
 |
 |
 |
Wilmar International |
100 |
39,065 |
|
4.182 |
2.782 |
6.286 |
2.104 |
50 |
245,574 |
42 |
|
| long |
7/02/12 |
6/10/13 |
343 |
 |
 |
 |
ThaiBev |
100 |
913,896 |
|
0.269 |
0.504 |
|
0.236 |
88 |
461,015 |
95 |
|
| short |
6/10/13 |
12/05/16 |
1274 |
 |
 |
 |
Noble Group |
100 |
570,054 |
|
0.809 |
0.117 |
5.597 |
4.788 |
592 |
3,190,706 |
74 |
|
| long |
12/05/16 |
12/19/16 |
14 |
 |
 |
 |
Genting |
100 |
4,625,352 |
|
0.690 |
0.642 |
|
-0.048 |
-7 |
2,968,711 |
-85 |
|
| short |
12/19/16 |
5/08/17 |
140 |
 |
 |
 |
StarHub |
100 |
1,558,542 |
|
1.905 |
1.964 |
1.845 |
-0.059 |
-3 |
2,876,135 |
-8 |
|
| long |
5/08/17 |
6/12/17 |
35 |
 |
 |
 |
Yangzijiang Ship |
100 |
3,194,728 |
|
0.900 |
0.878 |
|
-0.022 |
-2 |
2,806,503 |
-23 |
|
| short |
6/12/17 |
1/25/21 |
1323 |
 |
 |
 |
StarHub |
100 |
1,427,057 |
|
1.967 |
1.002 |
3.859 |
1.892 |
96 |
5,506,728 |
20 |
|
| long |
1/25/21 |
6/21/21 |
147 |
 |
 |
 |
Wilmar International |
100 |
1,321,376 |
|
4.167 |
3.388 |
|
-0.779 |
-19 |
4,477,321 |
-40 |
|
| short |
6/21/21 |
7/19/21 |
28 |
 |
 |
 |
Keppel DC REIT |
100 |
2,339,401 |
|
1.914 |
1.908 |
1.920 |
0.006 |
0 |
4,492,119 |
4 |
|
| long |
7/19/21 |
9/27/21 |
70 |
 |
 |
 |
Yangzijiang Ship |
100 |
4,502,110 |
|
0.998 |
1.035 |
|
0.037 |
4 |
4,658,576 |
21 |
|
| short |
9/27/21 |
8/12/24 |
1050 |
 |
 |
 |
DFI Retail |
100 |
1,354,237 |
|
3.440 |
1.860 |
6.362 |
2.922 |
85 |
8,615,927 |
24 |
|
| accum | 2/27/06 |
8/12/24 | 7442 |
days out of 7498 invested (99%) |
86,059 |
8,615,927 |
39 |
|
Instrument Related Contribution
| instrument | L/S | date buy | date sell | days | prc buy | prc sell | ps short | prc diff | d % | | | total |
| Noble Group | short | 5/29/06 | 9/04/06 | 98 | 0.40 | 0.45 | 0.35 | -0.05 | -13.28 | | | |
| | short | 6/10/13 | 12/05/16 | 1274 | 0.81 | 0.12 | 5.60 | 4.79 | 592.10 | | | 500.17 |
| Singapore Exchange | long | 2/27/06 | 5/29/06 | 91 | 2.41 | 2.52 | | 0.10 | 4.32 | | | |
| | long | 9/04/06 | 11/26/07 | 448 | 2.60 | 9.78 | | 7.19 | 276.89 | | | 293.19 |
| Yangzijiang Ship | long | 8/17/09 | 2/07/11 | 539 | 0.65 | 1.50 | | 0.84 | 128.80 | | | |
| | long | 5/08/17 | 6/12/17 | 35 | 0.90 | 0.88 | | -0.02 | -2.42 | | | |
| | long | 7/19/21 | 9/27/21 | 70 | 1.00 | 1.03 | | 0.04 | 3.71 | | | 131.54 |
| CapitaLand ICT | short | 11/26/07 | 8/17/09 | 630 | 2.23 | 1.06 | 4.71 | 2.47 | 110.74 | | | 110.74 |
| StarHub | short | 12/19/16 | 5/08/17 | 140 | 1.90 | 1.96 | 1.85 | -0.06 | -3.12 | | | |
| | short | 6/12/17 | 1/25/21 | 1323 | 1.97 | 1.00 | 3.86 | 1.89 | 96.21 | | | 90.09 |
| ThaiBev | long | 7/02/12 | 6/10/13 | 343 | 0.27 | 0.50 | | 0.24 | 87.73 | | | 87.73 |
| DFI Retail | short | 9/27/21 | 8/12/24 | 1050 | 3.44 | 1.86 | 6.36 | 2.92 | 84.95 | | | 84.95 |
| Wilmar International | short | 2/07/11 | 3/28/11 | 49 | 4.12 | 4.34 | 3.90 | -0.22 | -5.35 | | | |
| | short | 5/02/11 | 7/02/12 | 427 | 4.18 | 2.78 | 6.29 | 2.10 | 50.32 | | | |
| | long | 1/25/21 | 6/21/21 | 147 | 4.17 | 3.39 | | -0.78 | -18.69 | | | 15.68 |
| Keppel DC REIT | short | 6/21/21 | 7/19/21 | 28 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.92 | 0.01 | 0.33 | | | 0.33 |
| Genting | long | 3/28/11 | 5/02/11 | 35 | 1.63 | 1.72 | | 0.08 | 5.01 | | | |
| | long | 12/05/16 | 12/19/16 | 14 | 0.69 | 0.64 | | -0.05 | -6.96 | | | -2.30 |
Annotations
| 5/07/24 | Seatrium | | | reverse split 20:1 (one for twenty) |
| 3/12/24 | STI | | | Component update: Seatrium (former Sembcorp Marine) replaces Keppel DC REIT |
| 12/07/20 | CapitaLand Mall | | | mergered with CMT |
| 1/17/18 | STI | | | Jardine Strategic and Venture Corporation replace Global Logistic and SIA Engineering Company |
| 10/31/16 | STI | | | CapitaCom Trust and Jardine Matheson replace Noble and Sembcorp Marine |
| 2/02/16 | STI | | | full technique analysis performed |
| 9/21/15 | STI | | | SATS, UOL and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding replace
Jardine Matheson, Jardine Strategic and Olam |
| 9/04/15 | STI | | | complete analysis |
|
|